Florida Surf Report/Forecast and Tropical Outlook for June 17th 2024

Florida Surf Report/Forecast and Tropical Outlook for June 17th 2024

Florida Surf Report/Forecast and Tropical Outlook for June 17th 2024
Atlantic Surf Report and Forecast
 
Monday:  Chunky thigh to lucky waist sets at 5 sec from the East.  Onshore winds in the mid teens are chopping things up.  It’s not ideal out there but it’s still readable with a little work.

Tuesday:   Waist to lucky chest at 6sec from the East in the Am bumping to an 8 sec period by the end of the day.  Onshore winds pick up to the low 20s so expect chunky conditions.

Looking ahead:  Strong onshore winds continue pushing up some lower quality big chunky surf through Thursday.  Winds should back off on Friday giving us some cleaner 7-8 sec leftovers.  Then we lose some size for the weekend going back to knee to lucky thigh by Sunday.
 
 6-17-24-Atlantic-(1).jpg 
 
South Florida Surf report and Forecast
Monday:  Knee to thigh chunky short period wind swell chop with strong onshore winds.
Tuesday:  More short period windchop waves in the waist plus zone at about 5 secs.  Onshore winds in the mid teens are not helping.
Looking ahead:  Onshore winds and chunky wind swell waves stick around through Thursday.  Winds may back off as soon as Thursday afternoon so be ready for a few leftovers in the water.  PBC may see some cleaner leftovers into Friday so you might have to head north a bit if your down in the Miami area. After that size drops off as we get into the weekend.
 
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Gulf Coast Surf report and Forecast
Monday: 

Gulfsters:  Flat

Panhandle:  Knee to thigh at 7 sec from the South with SE winds in the mid teens.

Tuesday:

Gulfsters: Small to flat in most spots.

Panhandle: Surf builds to Waist plus from the SE at 7 sec.  Winds turn to the East and build to 20+ mph.  Look for spots that give some protection from the winds. 
Looking ahead:  

Gulfsters:  Winds continue to trend to the East and pick up as an area of low pressure forms in the Western Gulf.  This will basically push all the energy to the West leaving us with small to flat waves and brisk offshore winds.

Panhandle:  Strong Easterly winds for most of the week making for mostly choppy wind swell waves.  West facing beaches that block the winds could hold a little wave but expect those locations to be on the smaller side.  The Western Most Panhandle could see some waist to chest size for mid week but the winds will be strong and keep conditions chunky.  Winds back off later on Thursday and into Friday so keep an eye out for some cleaner leftovers before conditions drop off for the weekend.
 
 6-17-24-Gulf.jpg
 
Tropics and Hurricane Forecast
An area of low-pressure near Mexico has a with a 70% chance of development and may strengthen into a tropical storm as it moves into the Gulf.  It's expected to return over Mexico/Texas by Thursday and dissipate while moving westward over land. The system is currently experiencing very low wind shear and is over very warm waters, causing rapid intensification over open waters and rapid weakening once it moves back over land.  It's likely to remain disorganized, so it probably won't exhibit the traditional ring formation seen in tropical storms or hurricanes.

Although this system is not expected to impact us directly, we can expect fairly strong easterly winds due to the interaction between this system and the high-pressure area to the north. Should this storm develop tropical features, it would be the first of the season and would be named Alberto. 

We also have a second disturbance forming in the Atlantic that will probably fall apart on us

6-17-24-tropics.jpg

Have a great one!  - Bryan 


 
*Legal stuff.  Just a reminder I’m a surf forecaster not a weather forecaster so please check with the official government storm info outlets for the latest. 
 
 
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