Florida Surf Report/Forecast and Tropical Outlook for August 12th 2024
- August 12, 2024
- 0 Comments
- By Story/Photos By Bryan - SurfGuru
Atlantic Surf Report and Forecast
Monday: Knee high to thigh in the better spots at 7-8 sec sec from the East. Gentle south winds for most of the day.
Tuesday: Knee to lucky thigh high surf at 8sec from the East with gentle offshore winds turning to the South later in the day.
Looking ahead: Staying Knee to thigh through Wednesday. Then we have a short period wind swell and strong NE winds for Thursday, mostly north of the Cape. For Friday we start to see a longer period swell mix in from what should be Hurricane Ernesto. We could see some chest to head high sets off of this for the weekend so stay tuned.
South Florida Surf report and Forecast
Monday: Small to flat.
Tuesday: Small to flat.
Looking ahead:
Staying small through Thursday. Then we could see a little of this Ernesto swell on Friday and into the weekend for PBC but it will be blocked off as you head south.
Gulf Coast Surf report and Forecast
Monday:
Gulfsters: Small to flat with SW winds.
Panhandle: Small to flat.
Tuesday:
Gulfsters: Small wind swell with onshore winds.
Panhandle: Small start to the day but winds turn SW which could kick up a little afternoon wind swell.
Looking ahead:
Gulfsters: Staying Small to flat for the start of next week.
Panhandle: Staying Small to flat for the start of next week.
Tropics and Hurricane Forecast
A tropical wave near the Lesser Antilles, known as Potential Tropical Cyclone Five, is expected to develop soon into Tropical Storm Ernesto. The current forecast shows it tracking west towards the Leeward and Virgin Islands, with models predicting it will then swing north into the Atlantic, staying off Florida’s east coast. This storm could potentially reach Category 1-2 status.
The swell potential from this storm looks promising. Its path should take it through the “Goldilocks zone,” where it will be far enough away to avoid overly strong winds and rain, but close enough to generate well-formed, sizable swells. At its peak, we could see chest to overhead sets if it maintains its current trajectory. If it moves a bit further out, we can still expect fun waist to chest-high waves for the weekend
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Have a great one and stay safe! - Bryan
*Legal stuff. Just a reminder I’m a surf forecaster not a weather forecaster so please check with the official government storm info outlets for the latest.
