Florida Surf Report/Forecast and Tropical Outlook for May 15th 2024

May 15, 2024
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By Story/Photos By Bryan D - SurfGuru

Florida Surf Report/Forecast and Tropical Outlook for May 15^th 2024

Atlantic Coast

Wednesday: Knee to thigh high waves at 6 sec from the ENE. You may see a few lucky bigger sets out there if you are patient. Brisk offshore winds are keeping conditions on the smaller side but clean.

Thursday: Surf remains on the small side and only ridable for the big board little guy combo. Winds start offshore but clock around to the SE by the end of the day.

Looking ahead: The surf remains small and not quite rideable for Friday. On Saturday, a slight ENE swell at 8 seconds is expected to fill in, accompanied by winds of variable directions. By Sunday, the winds are forecasted to turn offshore, presenting knee to thigh-high waves at approximately 8 seconds. It may not be spectacular, but it has the potential for fun.

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Gulf Coast Surf report and Forecast

Wednesday:

Gulfsters: Winds pick up and turn onshore. This should kick up a knee to lucky thigh high 5 sec wind swell by the end of the day.

Panhandle: Onshore winds with mostly disorganized knee to thigh high wind swell.

Thursday:
Gulfsters: Winds stay onshore kicking up a littrle knee high wind swell.

Panhandle: Onshore winds in the high teens will be building a decent sized 5 sec winds well as the day goes on.

Looking ahead:
Gulfsters: Winds clean up and surf drop off for Friday. We may see a few small leftovers in the water early on. Looks like we are in the knee high range for the weekend.

Panhandle: Winds turn back onshore for Friday for a knee to lucky thigh wind swell. Chunky wind swell builds along with 20 mph SW winds for Saturday. For Sunday we should see a wind switch to the W/WNW giving us a chance at some cleaner leftovers.

Tropical and Hurricane Forecast

Not too much currently, but the warm waters and favorable conditions suggest an active season ahead. I anticipate the emergence of named storms possibly as early as, or around the middle of June.

The area of low pressure traversing the continental U.S., which I have been monitoring, is veering northward, aligning with the GFS model's trajectory, and is projected to move out into the Atlantic near Virginia. Although this will remain an interesting non-tropical feature to observe as it may provide insights into the behavior of a tropical low-pressure system, had it moved off the Florida Coast, it would have offered more substantial data and better surfing conditions.

Have a great one! - Bryan

*Legal stuff. Just a reminder I’m a surf forecaster not a weather forecaster so please check with the official government storm info outlets for the latest.